Floods in Texas

When will the rain stop in Texas? The forecast offers hope after devastating floods

Light rain is forecasted for Kerr County, the site of devastating flooding over the holiday weekend, as first responders continue their search and rescue operation.

Light rain is forecasted for Kerr County, the site of devastating flooding over the holiday weekend, as first responders continue their search and rescue operation.
Sergio Flores
Maite Knorr-Evans
Maite joined the AS USA in 2021, bringing her experience as a research analyst investigating illegal logging to the team. Maite’s interest in politics propelled her to pursue a degree in international relations and a master's in political philosophy. At AS USA, Maite combines her knowledge of political economy and personal finance to empower readers by providing answers to their most pressing questions.
Update:

The catastrophic flooding in Central Texas has claimed over 100 lives, including more than twenty children, while dozens remain missing. The disaster began on the Fourth of July, when a rapid accumulation of rain caused the Guadalupe River to rise more than 26 feet in under an hour, unleashing a tsunami-like wall of water that tore through communities across Kerr County and the surrounding areas.

Sadly, as the search and rescue operation shifts into a search and recovery mission, the work of first responders is being made even more difficult by continued rainfall.

The National Weather Service forecast for Kerr County still shows rain in the outlook.

For Tuesday, July 8, 2025, the NWS reports a “slight chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon,” with temperatures reaching the upper 80s. Tonight, rain may return after midnight, accompanied by winds around 5 to 10 mph.

Kerr County: July 8, 2025 - Sunday, July, 13, 2025

Tuesday, July 8, 2025: 

  • Day: Mostly cloudy this morning, then partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
  • Night: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Wednesday, July 9, 2025:

  • Day: Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
  • Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

Thursday, July 10, 2025: 

  • Day: Partly cloudy in the morning, then becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
  • Night: Clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

Friday, July 11, 2025 - Saturday, July 12, 2025

  • Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the lower 70s.

Sunday, July 13, 2025

  • Day: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s.
    Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

Source: National Weather Service

These forecasts can change quickly, so it’s best to stay updated through your trusted weather app or by visiting the National Weather Service website directly.

Flood Warnings remain in effect in other parts of Texas

These are the areas that continue to be under a Flood Warning in Texas. A Flood Warning is issued when flooding is taking place or is imminent.

Flood Warning in Coryell County

North of Kerr, a Flood Warning has been issued for Coryell County, indicating that flooding has already begun or is imminent. The warning specifically applies to the Leon River at Gatesville, where minor flooding is forecast. As of 7:45 PM CDT Monday, the river stage was at 18.4 feet. The bankfull and flood stage is 22.0 feet, and the river is expected to rise above that level late tonight, cresting at 22.6 feet by late tomorrow morning before falling below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon. At 22.0 feet, minor lowland flooding is expected along the river.

Flood Warning in San Saba County

A Flood Warning has been extended for the San Saba River at San Saba, affecting San Saba County, where minor flooding is forecast. The weather advisory will remain in place until at least early Thursday morning local time.

As of 8:00 PM CDT on Monday, July 7, 2025, the river stage was 8.6 feet, with flood stage set at 24.0 feet and bankfull at 20.0 feet. The river is expected to rise above flood stage Tuesday afternoon, cresting at 26.3 feet early Wednesday morning before falling below flood stage by Wednesday afternoon.

At 27.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding is expected, with secondary roads and low-water crossings likely to be submerged. This crest is comparable to a previous high of 26.8 feet recorded on May 10, 2019. Residents should exercise caution near riverbanks and report any observed flooding to local emergency services, who can relay the information to the National Weather Service.

For the most up-to-date information on these warnings and others that might emerge in the coming days, visit the NWS’ website.

Related stories

In addition to these Flood Warnings, which mean that the risk is present and that residents should take action to heed the advice of emergency officials, there are a few Flood Advisories in effect across the Lone Star State as well. According to the NWS, a Flood Advisory is issued when "flooding is not expected to be bad enough to issue a warning." Nevertheless, the agency says floods of this nature “may cause significant inconvenience, and if caution is not exercised, it could lead to situations that may threaten life and/or property.” Find the latest on the active Flood Advisories through the NWS.

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