These are the latest polls for the New York City Mayoral Election: Who will win on Nov. 4?
Here’s the latest poll ratings ahead of the November 4 NYC election.


New York natives are braving the bad weather to head to the streets to canvas for their preferred candidate in what is turning out to be one of the most talked-about mayoral elections in decades.
In the closing stretch of the race for mayor, key polling shows Zohran Mamdani pulling ahead of Andrew Cuomo by huge margins across the board, with Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa lingering in third place.
A recent poll from Quinnipiac University suggests Mamdani leads by roughly 10 points, capturing 43 percent of likely voters to Cuomo’s 33 percent, while Sliwa clocks in around 14 percent.
A different survey, from Emerson College, shows an even more commanding lead for the Democrat: 50 percent versus 25 percent for Cuomo, with Sliwa at 21 percent.
And there’s more good news for Mamdani: a third poll, this time by the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, gives the 34-year-old a whopping 16-point margin over his political rivals (48 percent for Mamdani, 32 percent for Cuomo, 16 percent for Sliwa).
What I don't have in experience, I make up for in integrity.
— Zohran Kwame Mamdani (@ZohranKMamdani) October 16, 2025
And what Andrew Cuomo lacks in integrity, he could never make up for with experience. pic.twitter.com/Toe2sTE8NR
Digging into demographics, Mamdani appears to have captured the belief among younger voters (45-and-under) and Black voters, while Cuomo retains more traction among older residents and Jewish voters.
In one poll targeting foreign-born New Yorkers, Mamdani earned 62 percent support compared with 24 percent for Cuomo and 12 percent for Sliwa; among American-born voters, Cuomo held the advantage at 40 percent to Mamdani’s 32 percent and Sliwa’s 25 percent - a simply sensational set of figures for the man obsessed with making New York affordable for the many, not the few.
Interestingly, the split in the anti-Mamdani vote appears to be helping him maintain his lead: with both Cuomo and Sliwa vying for similar blocs of voters opposed to Mamdani, none have consolidated a strong enough challenge to close the gap.
Of course, polls are only an indicator of how things are looking, and are never fully reliable. Back in 2016, they had Clinton ahead of Trump; they had the UK voting against Brexit a year later, and look how those two things turned out.
While Cuomo and Adams were fighting over who loved Israel more, Mamdani was running ads like this.
— Mel (@Villgecrazylady) October 21, 2025
Hope this helps.pic.twitter.com/41rXDk5Qc6 https://t.co/QmnpmIk8ip
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Still, the feelings are positive for Mamdani, who has whooped Cuomo twice in two televised debates and made everyone forget that Sliwa still exists.
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